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Trader leaderboard/pengu1n

pengu1n

0x8dd8f566b50f54a7a8ec02412723974b40679a1c
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$171
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$0
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+23.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
67%
52W / 26L · 2 open
Win Return (30d)
68%
54W / 26L
Trades (30d)
80
across 10 markets · ~8 per market
EV / position
+$18.97
avg win $81 · loss $30
Profit Factor
2.13
$322 won / $152 lost
Reward / Risk
2.66
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $48,082 · all-time $2,329,447

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 46.0% 2,889W/3,385L 1159 $114,997
⚽ Sports 40.8% 566W/821L 381 $22,815
🎬 Culture 52.2% 12W/11L 11 $412
🤖 Tech 63.6% 7W/4L 4 $56
💵 Economy 61.9% 13W/8L 4 $539
🏛 Politics 1 $0

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

45 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers (BO3) - EPL Masters Group A Power Rangers 340 0.735 $249.98 $43.05 +20.8%
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Hanwha Eagles Hanwha Eagles 607 0.394 $238.78 $23.71 +11.0%
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the #2 song for 2026? No 193 0.825 $159.56 $22.81 +16.7%
LoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group A E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 109 1.000 $108.95 $13.11 +13.7%
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? Yes 1,054 0.095 $100.15 $3.76 +3.9%
LoL: Sørby eSport vs Absolved (BO3) - NLC Regular Season Absolved 60 1.000 $59.97 $6.57 +12.3%
Will Gabby Williams win the 2026 WNBA Defensive Player of the Year award? Yes 84 0.610 $51.16 $22.39 +77.8%
FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. Páfos FC: Páfos FC O/U 2.5 Under 54 0.915 $49.41 $4.05 +8.9%
Will Chad Tracy be the next Red Sox manager? Yes 97 0.460 $44.62 $0.31 +0.7%
FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. Páfos FC: Páfos FC O/U 1.5 Under 55 0.745 $40.98 $7.42 +22.1%
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%? No 52 0.780 $40.92 $-2.10 -4.9%
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? No 643 0.060 $38.59 $-0.56 -1.4%
Will Páfos FC win on 2026-08-06? No 40 0.855 $34.51 $5.45 +18.7%
Will Jessica Pegula win the 2026 Women’s US Open? Yes 790 0.043 $34.29 $7.43 +27.6%
Will Tom Pelphrey – “Task” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series? Yes 68 0.365 $24.95 $1.04 +4.4%
Will HB Køge win on 2026-08-05? No 86 0.280 $24.08 $3.55 +17.3%
Dota 2: RE.Arise vs No Hoodwink (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B RE.Arise 38 0.405 $15.39 $3.83 +33.1%
Will HB Køge vs. Rīga FC end in a draw? No 18 0.785 $14.13 $-1.17 -7.6%
Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-08-11? No 22 0.620 $13.64 $-1.54 -10.1%
Will New Mexico United win on 2026-07-24? Yes 30 0.355 $10.56 $9.67 +1083.3%
Will Birmingham Legion FC vs. New Mexico United end in a draw? Yes 75 0.140 $10.56 $3.86 +57.7%
Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-08-11? No 10 0.835 $8.35 $-0.55 -6.2%
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-11? No 20 0.390 $7.70 $-1.12 -12.7%
Will Russell Westbrook play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27? Yes 34 0.220 $7.38 $3.84 +108.5%
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%? Yes 19 0.355 $6.77 $1.81 +36.5%