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Trader leaderboard/pengu1n

pengu1n

0x8dd8f566b50f54a7a8ec02412723974b40679a1c
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$2,630
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$200
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-3.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
48%
2,065W / 2,243L · 80 open
Win Return (30d)
48%
2,117W / 2,248L · 23 open
Trades (30d)
4,388
across 846 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
−$3.23
avg win $37 · loss $41
Profit Factor
0.85
$14,617 won / $17,247 lost
Reward / Risk
0.91
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$2,093
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $47,281 · all-time $2,328,646

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 46.2% 2,882W/3,354L 1142 $114,447
⚽ Sports 41.4% 559W/791L 369 $22,298
🎬 Culture 52.2% 12W/11L 10 $412
🤖 Tech 63.6% 7W/4L 4 $56
💵 Economy 61.9% 13W/8L 4 $539

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

41 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers (BO3) - EPL Masters Group A Power Rangers 340 0.765 $260.18 $53.26 +25.7%
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Hanwha Eagles Hanwha Eagles 607 0.394 $238.78 $23.71 +11.0%
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the #2 song for 2026? No 193 0.855 $165.36 $28.61 +20.9%
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? Yes 1,054 0.095 $100.15 $3.76 +3.9%
Will Gabby Williams win the 2026 WNBA Defensive Player of the Year award? Yes 84 0.630 $52.84 $24.06 +83.6%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner Top Esports 50 1.000 $49.98 $15.47 +44.9%
FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. Páfos FC: Páfos FC O/U 2.5 Under 54 0.925 $49.95 $4.59 +10.1%
FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. Páfos FC: Páfos FC O/U 1.5 Under 55 0.750 $41.25 $7.70 +23.0%
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%? No 52 0.775 $40.66 $-2.36 -5.5%
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? No 643 0.060 $38.59 $-0.56 -1.4%
Will Chad Tracy be the next Red Sox manager? Yes 75 0.465 $34.88 $1.12 +3.3%
Will Jessica Pegula win the 2026 Women’s US Open? Yes 790 0.043 $34.29 $7.43 +27.6%
Will Páfos FC win on 2026-08-06? No 40 0.845 $34.10 $5.04 +17.4%
Dota 2: RE.Arise vs No Hoodwink (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B RE.Arise 38 0.395 $15.01 $3.45 +29.8%
Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-08-11? No 22 0.660 $14.52 $-0.66 -4.3%
Will New Mexico United win on 2026-07-24? Yes 30 0.415 $12.35 $11.45 +1283.3%
Will Birmingham Legion FC vs. New Mexico United end in a draw? Yes 75 0.145 $10.94 $4.24 +63.3%
Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-08-11? No 10 0.850 $8.50 $-0.40 -4.5%
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-11? No 20 0.400 $7.90 $-0.93 -10.5%
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%? Yes 19 0.355 $6.77 $1.81 +36.5%
Will Russell Westbrook play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27? Yes 34 0.180 $6.04 $2.50 +70.6%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend EDward Gaming 50 0.065 $3.25 $-0.25 -7.1%
Will Tom Pelphrey – “Task” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series? Yes 9 0.355 $3.24 $0.06 +2.0%
Will "Beef" win 6 or 7 awards at the Emmys? Yes 177 0.013 $2.40 $-3.52 -59.5%
Will "Beef" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys? Yes 75 0.030 $2.27 $-1.45 -39.0%