trader-8dc13adf
0x8dc13adfda28963976e8c17b1d4efbe53d14c34a
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
−$13
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-4.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
72%
33W / 13L · 4 open
Win Return (30d)
72%
33W / 13L · 4 open
Trades (30d)
50
across 25 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$0.60
avg win $1 · loss $8
Profit Factor
0.56
$17 won / $30 lost
Reward / Risk
0.13
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$10
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $444 · all-time $31,916
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
148 |
0.175 |
$25.87 |
$5.94 |
+29.8% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
51 |
0.400 |
$20.55 |
$0.55 |
+2.8% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? |
Yes |
20 |
1.000 |
$20.02 |
$0.01 |
+0.0% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
19 |
0.601 |
$11.64 |
$1.64 |
+16.4% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? |
Yes |
10 |
0.999 |
$10.01 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Iran leadership change by August 31? |
Yes |
75 |
0.024 |
$1.76 |
$-0.19 |
-9.6% |