PnL (30d)

+$6

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$8

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+0.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

68%

180W / 83L · 13 open

Win Return (30d)

69%

186W / 84L · 6 open

Trades (30d)

276

across 122 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

+$0.05

avg win $3 · loss $9

Profit Factor

1.02

$267 won / $261 lost

Reward / Risk

0.35

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$69

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	68.4% 180W/83L	122	$1,817
₿ Crypto	37.5% 12W/20L	11	$116
🏛 Politics	88.2% 15W/2L	9	$105
🎬 Culture	85.7% 6W/1L	8	$66
⚽ Sports	85.7% 6W/1L	5	$70
💵 Economy	100.0% 1W/0L	2	$16

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	Yes	148	0.165	$24.40	$4.47	+22.4%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	Yes	51	0.460	$23.67	$3.67	+18.3%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?	Yes	20	1.000	$20.02	$0.01	+0.0%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	No	19	0.540	$10.47	$0.47	+4.7%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?	Yes	10	0.999	$10.00	$-0.01	-0.0%
Iran leadership change by August 31?	Yes	75	0.023	$1.73	$-0.22	-11.5%