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Trader

0x8d0c3509c152e1b4abfa470b0868ec3cce26e1ce
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$4
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$17
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+3.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
38%
46W / 74L · 12 open
Win Return (30d)
44%
58W / 74L
Trades (30d)
132
across 90 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
+$0.05
avg win $4 · loss $1
Profit Factor
1.05
$90 won / $85 lost
Reward / Risk
3.30
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$5
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $10 · all-time $38,627

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 38.5% 95W/152L 226 $701
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/9L 10 $30
₿ Crypto 0.0% 0W/8L 9 $22
🎬 Culture 16.7% 1W/5L 6 $11
🏛 Politics 25.0% 1W/3L 4 $8
🌤 Weather 1 $1
🔬 Science 1 $1
🤖 Tech 0.0% 0W/1L 1 $2

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

123 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Project Helix release by May 31, 2027? Yes 17 0.450 $7.50 $6.50 +650.0%
Will Conrad Kramer leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026? Yes 15 0.425 $6.31 $5.37 +574.6%
Will Michael Saylor appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31? Yes 12 0.495 $6.19 $5.19 +519.4%
Will Anatoly Yakovenko appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31? Yes 11 0.499 $5.55 $4.55 +455.0%
Will 100 to 129 tornadoes occur in the United States in July 2026? Yes 6 0.925 $5.25 $4.17 +386.8%
Will edgeX reach $1.60 before 2027? Yes 10 0.485 $5.05 $3.80 +304.2%
Will edgeX reach $1.80 before 2027? Yes 14 0.340 $4.72 $3.47 +277.8%
Will Justin Bieber release an album in 2026? No 7 0.595 $4.38 $2.80 +177.5%
Will light appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31? Yes 10 0.421 $4.28 $3.29 +330.7%
Will Credit-card routing competition become law this year? Yes 14 0.294 $4.08 $2.83 +226.7%
Will edgeX reach $2.00 before 2027? Yes 11 0.320 $3.64 $2.39 +190.9%
Will Big Tobacco buy Fre nicotine pouches? Yes 8 0.415 $3.29 $2.05 +165.3%
Will USD/CAD hit 1.10 (Low) in 2026? Yes 10 0.305 $3.05 $2.05 +205.0%
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" make it into the IMDb Top 250? No 4 0.690 $2.93 $2.33 +392.8%
Will Arch Network launch a token by June 30, 2027? No 6 0.490 $2.78 $2.21 +390.0%
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by December 31, 2026? No 5 0.560 $2.77 $2.03 +273.3%
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.75% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026? Yes 3 0.840 $2.74 $2.45 +833.3%
Will Sui reach $2.00 before 2027? Yes 11 0.245 $2.72 $1.72 +172.2%
Will the US federal government take a stake in Palantir Technologies Inc.? No 3 0.865 $2.58 $2.34 +981.2%
Claudio Lotito sells Lazio in 2026? No 4 0.670 $2.52 $2.13 +544.3%
Will USD/CAD hit 1.25 (Low) in 2026? Yes 5 0.500 $2.50 $1.95 +354.5%
Will Democratic Senate incumbents not win in exactly three nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? No 2 0.999 $2.42 $2.00 +473.8%
Tabi FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes 25 0.095 $2.38 $1.12 +90.0%
Will USD/CAD hit 1.33 (Low) in 2026? Yes 5 0.485 $2.26 $1.33 +142.5%
Elizabeth Olsen as Scarlet Witch? No 4 0.550 $2.25 $1.56 +223.5%