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Trader

0x8d0c3509c152e1b4abfa470b0868ec3cce26e1ce
PnL (30d)
+$3
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$111
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+1.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
38%
95W / 152L · 91 open
Win Return (30d)
51%
172W / 166L
Trades (30d)
338
across 226 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
+$0.02
avg win $5 · loss $2
Profit Factor
1.02
$222 won / $219 lost
Reward / Risk
3.12
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$50
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $10 · all-time $38,627

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 38.5% 95W/152L 226 $701
🎬 Culture 36.4% 4W/7L 11 $27
💵 Economy 20.0% 2W/8L 10 $31
₿ Crypto 0.0% 0W/8L 9 $22
🏛 Politics 40.0% 4W/6L 8 $23
🌤 Weather 100.0% 2W/0L 2 $3
🔬 Science 100.0% 2W/0L 2 $3
🤖 Tech 0.0% 0W/1L 1 $2

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

123 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Project Helix release by May 31, 2027? Yes 17 0.455 $7.58 $6.58 +658.3%
Will Conrad Kramer leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026? Yes 15 0.422 $6.27 $5.34 +570.6%
Will Michael Saylor appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31? Yes 12 0.494 $6.18 $5.18 +518.1%
Will Anatoly Yakovenko appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31? Yes 11 0.499 $5.55 $4.55 +455.0%
Will 100 to 129 tornadoes occur in the United States in July 2026? Yes 6 0.925 $5.25 $4.17 +386.8%
Will edgeX reach $1.60 before 2027? Yes 10 0.485 $5.05 $3.80 +304.2%
Will edgeX reach $1.80 before 2027? Yes 14 0.340 $4.72 $3.47 +277.8%
Will Sui reach $2.00 before 2027? Yes 11 0.415 $4.61 $3.61 +361.1%
Will Justin Bieber release an album in 2026? No 7 0.590 $4.34 $2.76 +175.2%
Will light appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31? Yes 10 0.421 $4.28 $3.28 +330.2%
Will Credit-card routing competition become law this year? Yes 14 0.286 $3.97 $2.72 +217.7%
Will edgeX reach $2.00 before 2027? Yes 11 0.320 $3.64 $2.39 +190.9%
Will Big Tobacco buy Fre nicotine pouches? Yes 8 0.415 $3.29 $2.05 +165.3%
Will USD/CAD hit 1.10 (Low) in 2026? Yes 10 0.305 $3.05 $2.05 +205.0%
Will Trump Airport become law this year? Yes 43 0.070 $2.98 $2.06 +221.6%
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" make it into the IMDb Top 250? No 4 0.690 $2.93 $2.33 +392.8%
Will Arch Network launch a token by June 30, 2027? No 6 0.490 $2.78 $2.21 +390.0%
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.75% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026? Yes 3 0.840 $2.74 $2.45 +833.3%
Will the US federal government take a stake in Palantir Technologies Inc.? No 3 0.860 $2.56 $2.32 +975.0%
Claudio Lotito sells Lazio in 2026? No 4 0.670 $2.52 $2.13 +544.3%
Will USD/CAD hit 1.25 (Low) in 2026? Yes 5 0.500 $2.50 $1.95 +354.5%
Will Democratic Senate incumbents not win in exactly three nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? No 2 0.999 $2.42 $2.00 +473.8%
Will John Turturro be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes 6 0.375 $2.34 $1.09 +87.5%
Will USD/CAD hit 1.33 (Low) in 2026? Yes 5 0.500 $2.33 $1.40 +150.0%
Elizabeth Olsen as Scarlet Witch? No 4 0.550 $2.25 $1.56 +223.5%