PnL (30d)

+$221

Weather · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$0

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+4.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

73%

216W / 78L · 24 open

Win Return (30d)

72%

216W / 86L · 16 open

Trades (30d)

318

across 38 markets · ~8 per market

EV / position

+$6.31

avg win $11 · loss $6

Profit Factor

4.81

$279 won / $58 lost

Reward / Risk

1.66

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$7

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	50.0% 1,544W/1,542L	225	$59,676
🌤 Weather	87.7% 57W/8L	7	$2,365

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 6?	Yes	200	0.040	$8.00	$4.00	+100.0%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 6?	Yes	200	0.010	$2.00	$0.00	+0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 6?	Yes	200	0.004	$0.90	$0.30	+50.0%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C or higher on August 6?	Yes	200	0.004	$0.70	$0.50	+249.9%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 5?	Yes	200	0.001	$0.10	$-2.53	-96.2%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 6?	Yes	200	0.001	$0.10	$-0.30	-75.0%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 5?	Yes	200	0.001	$0.10	$-0.50	-83.3%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C or higher on August 5?	Yes	200	0.001	$0.10	$-0.10	-50.0%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 5?	Yes	200	0.001	$0.10	$-1.95	-95.1%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 5?	Yes	190	0.001	$0.10	$-1.80	-95.0%