PnL (30d)

+$483

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$281

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+1.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

50%

1,544W / 1,542L · 289 open

Win Return (30d)

50%

1,632W / 1,662L · 81 open

Trades (30d)

3,375

across 225 markets · ~15 per market

EV / position

+$2.40

avg win $33 · loss $28

Profit Factor

1.17

$3,324 won / $2,841 lost

Reward / Risk

1.16

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$265

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	50.0% 1,544W/1,542L	225	$59,676
🌤 Weather	87.7% 57W/8L	7	$2,365

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 6?	Yes	200	0.045	$9.00	$5.00	+125.0%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 6?	Yes	200	0.007	$1.50	$-0.50	-25.0%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 6?	Yes	200	0.004	$0.80	$0.20	+33.3%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C or higher on August 6?	Yes	200	0.002	$0.40	$0.20	+100.0%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 5?	Yes	200	0.001	$0.10	$-2.53	-96.2%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 6?	Yes	200	0.001	$0.10	$-0.30	-75.0%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 5?	Yes	200	0.001	$0.10	$-0.50	-83.3%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C or higher on August 5?	Yes	200	0.001	$0.10	$-0.10	-50.0%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 5?	Yes	200	0.001	$0.10	$-1.95	-95.1%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 5?	Yes	190	0.001	$0.10	$-1.80	-95.0%