PnL (30d)

+$59

Sports · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

$0

no open positions

ROI (30d)

+11.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

93%

38W / 3L

Win Return (30d)

93%

38W / 3L

Trades (30d)

41

across 9 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

+$6.58

avg win $11 · loss $2

Profit Factor

9.94

$66 won / $7 lost

Reward / Risk

4.97

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$2

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	66.9% 452W/224L	125	$14,726
🏛 Politics	100.0% 7W/0L	8	$743
⚽ Sports	50.0% 1W/1L	2	$6
🎬 Culture	—	1	$31
💵 Economy	—	1	$15

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

22 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?	Yes	250	0.945	$236.26	$1.25	+0.5%
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?	No	237	0.950	$224.88	$10.24	+4.8%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	Yes	71	0.795	$56.43	$6.03	+12.0%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	150	0.325	$48.75	$-0.75	-1.5%
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	68	0.492	$33.37	$0.52	+1.6%
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	476	0.061	$29.05	$3.81	+15.1%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	25	0.615	$15.38	$0.62	+4.2%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Yes	35	0.305	$10.67	$2.32	+27.8%
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	Yes	25	0.278	$6.95	$-0.59	-7.9%
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?	No	7	0.935	$6.16	$0.36	+6.2%
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?	Yes	10	0.570	$5.70	$-1.40	-19.7%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027?	Yes	149	0.025	$3.78	$2.51	+197.1%
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	17	0.155	$2.63	$0.08	+3.3%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?	Yes	100	0.015	$1.50	$-1.26	-45.6%
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	15	0.065	$0.97	$0.15	+17.7%
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	Yes	1	0.625	$0.93	$-0.01	-0.8%
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	Yes	5	0.130	$0.65	$-0.95	-59.4%
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?	Yes	30	0.021	$0.64	$-0.68	-51.4%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	6	0.075	$0.46	$-0.64	-58.3%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027?	Yes	40	0.005	$0.20	$-0.47	-70.1%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027?	Yes	19	0.004	$0.07	$0.01	+16.4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	5	0.000	$0.00	$-1.90	-100.0%