lovesatoshi
0x8c781c18a4227f876798b33f45a8661999c8322c
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$11
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+15.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
68%
15W / 7L · 13 open
Win Return (30d)
76%
25W / 8L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
35
across 10 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
+$2.24
avg win $3 · loss $1
Profit Factor
21.54
$12 won / $1 lost
Reward / Risk
5.38
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $311 · all-time $19,255
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Haley Stevens win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? |
Yes |
6 |
0.988 |
$6.13 |
$0.48 |
+8.5% |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? |
No |
7 |
0.825 |
$6.13 |
$-0.09 |
-1.4% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
6 |
0.675 |
$4.30 |
$-0.29 |
-6.3% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
7 |
0.545 |
$3.88 |
$-0.04 |
-0.9% |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? |
No |
6 |
0.530 |
$3.18 |
$-0.36 |
-10.2% |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group |
Nongshim Red Force |
6 |
0.055 |
$0.35 |
$-3.62 |
-91.3% |