PnL (30d)

−$63

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$7

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-4.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

72%

353W / 135L · 115 open

Win Return (30d)

75%

405W / 138L · 60 open

Trades (30d)

603

across 287 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$0.26

avg win $1 · loss $3

Profit Factor

0.75

$193 won / $256 lost

Reward / Risk

0.38

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$32

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	72.3% 353W/135L	287	$2,873
⚽ Sports	78.6% 44W/12L	35	$283
🏛 Politics	62.5% 5W/3L	8	$88
💵 Economy	60.0% 3W/2L	4	$53
🌤 Weather	33.3% 1W/2L	3	$15
🎬 Culture	66.7% 2W/1L	2	$8
₿ Crypto	0.0% 0W/2L	2	$3

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Haley Stevens win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?	Yes	6	0.992	$6.16	$0.51	+9.0%
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	7	0.825	$6.13	$-0.09	-1.4%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	6	0.675	$4.30	$-0.29	-6.3%
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	6	0.520	$3.12	$-0.42	-11.9%