| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? |
No |
6,510 |
0.905 |
$5,891.94 |
$2,398.36 |
+68.7% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
Yes |
5,727 |
0.815 |
$4,667.09 |
$1,569.75 |
+50.7% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
3,000 |
0.980 |
$2,940.00 |
$249.00 |
+9.3% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
Yes |
2,933 |
0.910 |
$2,669.31 |
$1,015.07 |
+61.4% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? |
Yes |
74,671 |
0.028 |
$2,053.46 |
$-8,206.99 |
-80.0% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
Yes |
22,005 |
0.080 |
$1,760.40 |
$-2,069.15 |
-54.0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
9,534 |
0.175 |
$1,668.39 |
$1,001.03 |
+150.0% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? |
No |
1,951 |
0.740 |
$1,443.87 |
$438.63 |
+43.6% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? |
No |
2,281 |
0.630 |
$1,437.24 |
$762.97 |
+113.2% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? |
No |
11,365 |
0.110 |
$1,250.20 |
$-2,602.14 |
-67.5% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
1,015 |
0.830 |
$842.80 |
$497.86 |
+144.3% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
Yes |
754 |
0.735 |
$554.23 |
$229.99 |
+70.9% |
| US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026? |
No |
456 |
0.982 |
$447.21 |
$18.91 |
+4.4% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
No |
2,703 |
0.145 |
$391.87 |
$-707.19 |
-64.3% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? |
No |
1,300 |
0.170 |
$221.00 |
$-523.93 |
-70.3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
532 |
0.385 |
$204.83 |
$130.35 |
+175.0% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
Yes |
230 |
0.095 |
$21.89 |
$-93.33 |
-81.0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? |
No |
6 |
0.940 |
$5.63 |
$0.96 |
+20.5% |