Palace8709
0x8c1026f774fe33016fb36d5f18f5e791d3e0d7b3
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$25
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$7,092
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
26%
8W / 23L · 35 open
Win Return (30d)
64%
42W / 24L
Trades (30d)
66
across 14 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
+$2.83
avg win $84 · loss $159
Profit Factor
1.05
$502 won / $477 lost
Reward / Risk
0.53
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$477
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $65,089 · all-time $1,426,681
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
12,346 |
0.835 |
$10,308.64 |
$308.65 |
+3.1% |
| Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? |
Yes |
5,979 |
0.385 |
$2,301.85 |
$151.06 |
+7.0% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
No |
2,761 |
0.375 |
$1,035.52 |
$96.65 |
+10.3% |
| Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? |
No |
500 |
0.515 |
$257.50 |
$-62.50 |
-19.5% |
| Will GBP/USD hit 1.25 (Low) in 2026? |
No |
81 |
0.605 |
$48.96 |
$-6.94 |
-12.4% |
| Will Marcus Rashford stay at Manchester United? |
Yes |
51 |
0.644 |
$32.84 |
$0.71 |
+2.2% |
| Will GBP/USD hit 1.30 (Low) in 2026? |
No |
44 |
0.540 |
$23.72 |
$7.23 |
+43.9% |
| Will Marcus Rashford join Napoli? |
No |
8 |
0.949 |
$7.21 |
$-0.01 |
-0.1% |