PnL (30d)

−$479

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$7,730

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-0.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

79%

128W / 34L · 73 open

Win Return (30d)

85%

197W / 35L · 3 open

Trades (30d)

235

across 88 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

−$6.14

avg win $23 · loss $265

Profit Factor

0.77

$1,642 won / $2,121 lost

Reward / Risk

0.09

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$477

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	79.0% 128W/34L	88	$128,306
🏛 Politics	8.0% 2W/23L	7	$20,579
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/23L	6	$22,626
🌤 Weather	100.0% 1W/0L	1	$100
🔬 Science	100.0% 1W/0L	1	$100

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	12,346	0.835	$10,308.64	$308.65	+3.1%
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Yes	6,076	0.385	$2,339.19	$153.51	+7.0%
Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	2,761	0.375	$1,035.52	$96.65	+10.3%
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	500	0.515	$257.50	$-62.50	-19.5%
Will GBP/USD hit 1.25 (Low) in 2026?	No	81	0.605	$48.96	$-6.94	-12.4%
Will Marcus Rashford stay at Manchester United?	Yes	51	0.644	$32.84	$0.71	+2.2%
Will GBP/USD hit 1.30 (Low) in 2026?	No	44	0.540	$23.72	$7.23	+43.9%
Will Marcus Rashford join Napoli?	No	8	0.949	$7.21	$-0.01	-0.1%