Log in
Trader leaderboard/0x8B4bcA1D794779E66e023D44391B2A86C5ab541B-1769764313952

0x8B4bcA1D794779E66e023D44391B2A86C5ab541B-1769764313952

0x8b4bca1d794779e66e023d44391b2a86c5ab541b
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$156,560
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$25,868
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-5.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
78%
927W / 264L · 1,610 open
Win Return (30d)
57%
1,592W / 1,209L
Trades (30d)
2,801
across 25 markets · ~112 per market
EV / position
−$10,437.31
avg win $719 · loss $82,955
Profit Factor
0.06
$9,351 won / $165,911 lost
Reward / Risk
0.01
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $626,957 · all-time $36,482,454

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 78.0% 8,555W/2,412L 248 $14,394,723
₿ Crypto 100.0% 27W/0L 17 $281,068
🏛 Politics 100.0% 91W/0L 14 $537,506
💵 Economy 100.0% 79W/0L 4 $299,227
🎬 Culture 2 $19,668
🤖 Tech 100.0% 11W/0L 1 $4,985
🔬 Science 1 $4,875

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

51 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 350,000 0.845 $295,750.03 $18,136.65 +6.5%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No 297,500 0.925 $275,187.54 $14,907.43 +5.7%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No 290,558 0.935 $271,671.91 $11,403.54 +4.4%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No 206,622 0.963 $198,873.44 $10,048.02 +5.3%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No 190,000 0.945 $179,549.77 $24,522.13 +15.8%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? No 162,008 0.973 $157,552.81 $571.24 +0.4%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No 136,636 0.961 $131,238.84 $1,694.29 +1.3%
Trump out as President before 2027? No 140,000 0.935 $130,900.00 $11,364.36 +9.5%
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? No 130,829 0.954 $124,745.38 $16,648.90 +15.4%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No 81,973 0.974 $79,801.16 $1,407.89 +1.8%
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No 82,563 0.942 $77,732.92 $1,077.44 +1.4%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? No 74,662 0.986 $73,579.29 $191.28 +0.3%
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? No 73,526 0.984 $72,312.84 $5,314.02 +7.9%
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? No 72,218 0.945 $68,246.04 $11,469.23 +20.2%
Trump out as President by August 31? No 55,000 0.994 $54,642.47 $162.74 +0.3%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No 47,890 0.915 $43,819.73 $9,190.50 +26.5%
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No 47,697 0.885 $42,211.96 $2,393.11 +6.0%
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No 33,000 0.915 $30,195.02 $-495.00 -1.6%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? No 27,806 0.963 $26,777.11 $161.55 +0.6%
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No 27,273 0.845 $23,045.89 $1,975.86 +9.4%
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No 22,906 0.972 $22,253.34 $648.77 +3.0%
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? No 18,765 0.895 $16,794.97 $206.81 +1.2%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No 18,853 0.845 $15,930.69 $1,064.57 +7.2%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? No 15,121 0.979 $14,796.26 $55.57 +0.4%
Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026? No 12,659 0.984 $12,450.54 $1,008.85 +8.8%