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Trader leaderboard/0x8B4bcA1D794779E66e023D44391B2A86C5ab541B-1769764313952

0x8B4bcA1D794779E66e023D44391B2A86C5ab541B-1769764313952

0x8b4bca1d794779e66e023d44391b2a86c5ab541b
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$501
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$1,180
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
95%
264W / 15L · 202 open
Win Return (30d)
92%
439W / 36L · 6 open
Trades (30d)
481
across 45 markets · ~11 per market
EV / position
+$20.89
avg win $102 · loss $870
Profit Factor
1.29
$2,242 won / $1,740 lost
Reward / Risk
0.12
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $627,061 · all-time $36,482,557

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 78.0% 8,555W/2,412L 248 $14,394,723
₿ Crypto 100.0% 27W/0L 17 $281,068
🏛 Politics 100.0% 91W/0L 14 $537,506
💵 Economy 100.0% 79W/0L 4 $299,227
🎬 Culture 2 $19,668
🤖 Tech 100.0% 11W/0L 1 $4,985
🔬 Science 1 $4,875

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

51 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 350,000 0.845 $295,750.03 $18,136.65 +6.5%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No 297,500 0.925 $275,187.54 $14,907.43 +5.7%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No 290,558 0.935 $271,671.91 $11,403.54 +4.4%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No 206,632 0.963 $198,883.42 $10,048.11 +5.3%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No 190,000 0.945 $179,549.77 $24,522.13 +15.8%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? No 162,008 0.970 $157,147.79 $166.22 +0.1%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No 136,636 0.961 $131,238.84 $1,694.29 +1.3%
Trump out as President before 2027? No 140,000 0.935 $130,900.00 $11,364.36 +9.5%
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? No 130,829 0.954 $124,745.38 $16,648.90 +15.4%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No 81,973 0.974 $79,842.14 $1,448.88 +1.8%
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No 82,573 0.942 $77,742.87 $1,077.50 +1.4%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? No 74,662 0.986 $73,579.29 $191.28 +0.3%
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? No 73,526 0.984 $72,312.84 $5,314.02 +7.9%
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? No 72,218 0.945 $68,246.04 $11,469.23 +20.2%
Trump out as President by August 31? No 55,000 0.993 $54,587.47 $107.74 +0.2%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No 47,890 0.915 $43,819.73 $9,190.50 +26.5%
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No 47,697 0.885 $42,211.96 $2,393.11 +6.0%
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No 33,000 0.915 $30,195.02 $-495.00 -1.6%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? No 27,806 0.962 $26,735.40 $119.84 +0.5%
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No 27,273 0.845 $23,045.89 $1,975.86 +9.4%
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No 22,906 0.976 $22,356.42 $751.85 +3.5%
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? No 18,765 0.895 $16,794.97 $206.81 +1.2%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No 18,853 0.845 $15,930.69 $1,064.57 +7.2%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? No 15,121 0.978 $14,781.14 $40.45 +0.3%
Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026? No 12,659 0.984 $12,450.54 $1,008.85 +8.8%