PnL (30d)

−$314

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$3

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-151.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

40%

2W / 3L · 10 open

Win Return (30d)

20%

3W / 12L

Trades (30d)

15

across 7 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$156.98

avg win $20 · loss $333

Profit Factor

0.06

$20 won / $333 lost

Reward / Risk

0.06

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	44.4% 40W/50L	62	$8,720
🏛 Politics	—	3	$67
🤖 Tech	—	2	$110
🎬 Culture	—	1	$12
🔬 Science	—	1	$12

Open positions

10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	160	0.635	$101.34	$1.34	+1.3%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Yes	200	0.305	$61.00	$29.00	+90.6%
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	145	0.395	$57.10	$7.10	+14.2%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	104	0.540	$56.19	$9.19	+19.6%
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Yes	300	0.125	$37.50	$-7.50	-16.7%
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	15	0.850	$12.88	$2.88	+28.8%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	200	0.055	$11.00	$-1.00	-8.3%
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	19	0.507	$9.74	$-0.26	-2.6%
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	117	0.065	$7.58	$-6.42	-45.8%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	14	0.038	$0.52	$-0.48	-47.9%