Log in
Trader leaderboard/mjw0410

mjw0410

0x8b45d9fe3311cd9f791cd09cb7bf032a1eba077e
PnL (30d)
−$1,045
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$43
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-24.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
44%
40W / 50L · 20 open
Win Return (30d)
43%
47W / 63L
Trades (30d)
110
across 62 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$21.33
avg win $48 · loss $62
Profit Factor
0.45
$868 won / $1,913 lost
Reward / Risk
0.78
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $894 · all-time $186,875

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 44.4% 40W/50L 62 $8,720
🏛 Politics 3 $67
🤖 Tech 2 $110
🎬 Culture 1 $12
🔬 Science 1 $12

Open positions

10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? Yes 160 0.690 $110.11 $10.11 +10.1%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? Yes 200 0.305 $61.00 $29.00 +90.6%
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? Yes 145 0.395 $57.10 $7.10 +14.2%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 104 0.535 $55.72 $8.72 +18.6%
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes 300 0.125 $37.50 $-7.50 -16.7%
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes 15 0.845 $12.80 $2.80 +28.0%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes 200 0.055 $11.00 $-1.00 -8.3%
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes 19 0.522 $10.02 $0.02 +0.2%
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 117 0.075 $8.75 $-5.25 -37.5%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes 14 0.037 $0.51 $-0.49 -48.6%