PnL (30d)

−$5

Weather · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

$0

no open positions

ROI (30d)

-27.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

69%

20W / 9L

Win Return (30d)

69%

20W / 9L

Trades (30d)

29

across 4 markets · ~7 per market

EV / position

−$1.13

avg win $1 · loss $2

Profit Factor

0.23

$1 won / $6 lost

Reward / Risk

0.70

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$4

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	37.2% 253W/427L	142	$5,236
🌤 Weather	90.9% 20W/2L	2	$22

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 6?	Yes	100	0.565	$56.49	$1.66	+3.0%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 6?	Yes	249	0.085	$21.12	$-5.63	-21.0%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 7?	Yes	100	0.170	$17.00	$-2.00	-10.5%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?	Yes	700	0.015	$10.85	$-0.35	-3.1%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 6?	Yes	395	0.013	$4.93	$3.04	+160.1%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	No	17	0.225	$3.75	$-6.25	-62.5%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 5?	Yes	446	0.001	$0.22	$-50.24	-99.6%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on August 5?	Yes	325	0.001	$0.16	$-58.97	-99.7%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 7°C on August 5?	Yes	255	0.001	$0.13	$-8.03	-98.4%