PnL (30d)

+$275

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$120

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+10.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

37%

253W / 427L · 52 open

Win Return (30d)

38%

275W / 456L · 1 open

Trades (30d)

732

across 142 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

+$2.07

avg win $19 · loss $7

Profit Factor

1.46

$866 won / $591 lost

Reward / Risk

2.77

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$82

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	37.2% 253W/427L	142	$5,236
🌤 Weather	90.9% 20W/2L	2	$22

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 6?	Yes	100	0.545	$54.50	$-0.33	-0.6%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 6?	Yes	249	0.090	$22.37	$-4.39	-16.4%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 7?	Yes	100	0.175	$17.50	$-1.50	-7.9%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?	Yes	700	0.015	$10.85	$-0.35	-3.1%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 6?	Yes	395	0.013	$5.33	$3.43	+181.0%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	No	17	0.215	$3.58	$-6.42	-64.2%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 5?	Yes	446	0.002	$0.67	$-49.79	-98.7%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on August 5?	Yes	325	0.001	$0.16	$-58.97	-99.7%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 7°C on August 5?	Yes	255	0.001	$0.13	$-8.03	-98.4%