ac009
0x8b016395230775d54a3cd81d2e254653549124a9
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$2
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$5
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
21%
13W / 48L · 59 open
Win Return (30d)
25%
26W / 80L · 14 open
Trades (30d)
120
across 7 markets · ~17 per market
EV / position
−$0.82
avg win $1 · loss $2
Profit Factor
0.24
$1 won / $3 lost
Reward / Risk
0.48
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$2
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $165,221 · all-time $5,844,529
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
| Category |
Win Resolved (per trade) |
Markets |
Volume |
|
🌐 All markets
|
24.7%
3,950W/12,029L
|
145 |
$1,808,309 |
|
🏛 Politics
|
9.7%
19W/177L
|
27 |
$181,775 |
|
💵 Economy
|
0.0%
0W/153L
|
13 |
$141,071 |
|
⚽ Sports
|
37.5%
3W/5L
|
6 |
$8,100 |
|
₿ Crypto
|
28.3%
13W/33L
|
5 |
$11,048 |
|
🎬 Culture
|
44.2%
19W/24L
|
5 |
$9,746 |
|
🤖 Tech
|
100.0%
234W/0L
|
2 |
$39,433 |
|
🔬 Science
|
—
|
2 |
$3,234 |
|
🌤 Weather
|
—
|
1 |
$999 |
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
11 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
537 |
0.740 |
$397.04 |
$-0.80 |
-0.2% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
283 |
0.987 |
$278.89 |
$-0.14 |
-0.1% |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
No |
201 |
0.996 |
$200.41 |
$0.40 |
+0.2% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
202 |
0.991 |
$200.10 |
$0.10 |
+0.1% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
216 |
0.924 |
$199.68 |
$-0.32 |
-0.2% |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? |
No |
215 |
0.925 |
$198.92 |
$-1.08 |
-0.5% |
| LoL: EDward Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend |
Top Esports |
200 |
0.935 |
$186.99 |
$1.00 |
+0.5% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
51 |
0.987 |
$50.35 |
$0.03 |
+0.1% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
Yes |
24 |
0.998 |
$23.87 |
$0.06 |
+0.3% |
| LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group |
T1 |
25 |
0.425 |
$10.62 |
$0.12 |
+1.2% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
8 |
0.985 |
$7.76 |
$0.00 |
+0.1% |