| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? |
No |
514 |
0.972 |
$500.00 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
508 |
0.984 |
$499.76 |
$-0.25 |
-0.1% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
324 |
0.927 |
$300.16 |
$0.16 |
+0.1% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
287 |
0.987 |
$283.58 |
$-0.14 |
-0.1% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
308 |
0.655 |
$201.54 |
$1.54 |
+0.8% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
202 |
0.991 |
$200.10 |
$0.10 |
+0.1% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
Yes |
201 |
0.997 |
$199.90 |
$-0.10 |
-0.1% |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
No |
203 |
0.980 |
$199.12 |
$-0.91 |
-0.5% |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? |
No |
215 |
0.925 |
$198.92 |
$-1.08 |
-0.5% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
159 |
0.987 |
$156.47 |
$0.08 |
+0.1% |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
No |
44 |
0.974 |
$42.73 |
$0.04 |
+0.1% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
Yes |
26 |
0.886 |
$23.07 |
$-0.04 |
-0.2% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
9 |
0.987 |
$8.89 |
$0.01 |
+0.1% |