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Trader leaderboard/uraw

uraw

0x8a4ceea487d437f8ca48fde1533d09b61f6f2c4c
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$115
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$815
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+4.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
3W / 0L · 18 open
Win Return (30d)
62%
13W / 8L
Trades (30d)
21
across 6 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
+$115.00
avg win $115
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,550 · all-time $452,114

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 65.4% 68W/36L 28 $26,950
🏛 Politics 1 $627
💵 Economy 1 $627
₿ Crypto 1 $106

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

28 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? No 1,700 0.695 $1,181.33 $-99.67 -7.8%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No 860 0.755 $649.28 $168.87 +35.2%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? No 700 0.840 $588.00 $18.00 +3.2%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No 553 0.962 $531.69 $31.69 +6.3%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No 560 0.845 $473.20 $63.40 +15.5%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? Yes 1,032 0.455 $469.51 $-157.99 -25.2%
Will China have an Ebola case in 2026? No 591 0.780 $461.10 $70.60 +18.1%
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026? No 560 0.765 $428.40 $26.40 +6.6%
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? Yes 3,676 0.115 $422.72 $-516.70 -55.0%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No 255 0.945 $240.70 $35.70 +17.4%
Fed rate hike in 2026? No 600 0.375 $225.00 $-58.00 -20.5%
Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? Yes 1,769 0.125 $221.11 $-648.88 -74.6%
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026? No 366 0.495 $181.10 $15.46 +9.3%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 2,109 0.086 $180.30 $-28.69 -13.7%
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 by December 31, 2026? No 261 0.630 $164.65 $10.16 +6.6%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes 2,429 0.065 $157.86 $-132.14 -45.6%
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? No 150 0.735 $110.25 $3.75 +3.5%
Will Ethereum reach $2,250 by December 31, 2026? No 232 0.445 $103.22 $-28.97 -21.9%
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? Yes 314 0.125 $39.19 $-15.81 -28.7%
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? Yes 2,534 0.015 $36.74 $-258.60 -87.6%
5kt meteor strike in 2026? Yes 124 0.275 $34.09 $-5.91 -14.8%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 131 0.184 $24.14 $-10.86 -31.0%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 417 0.052 $21.87 $1.88 +9.4%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 417 0.049 $20.42 $0.42 +2.1%
ECB rate cut in 2026? Yes 224 0.090 $20.13 $-15.50 -43.5%