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Trader leaderboard/ghoan

ghoan

0x897a960452f8943b450d382f254522d992a74194
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$31
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$24
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-11.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
38%
8W / 13L · 21 open
Win Return (30d)
60%
25W / 17L
Trades (30d)
42
across 15 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$3.43
avg win $5 · loss $10
Profit Factor
0.39
$20 won / $50 lost
Reward / Risk
0.48
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,759 · all-time $83,672

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 51.4% 303W/287L 196 $11,823
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/3L 16 $293
🌤 Weather 25.0% 2W/6L 5 $38
💵 Economy 22.2% 2W/7L 4 $377
🎬 Culture 100.0% 1W/0L 2 $9

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

105 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in July? No 877 0.937 $821.68 $111.47 +15.7%
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting? No 902 0.896 $808.01 $112.25 +16.1%
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026? Yes 661 0.750 $495.83 $-45.33 -8.4%
Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election? Yes 552 0.745 $411.58 $65.20 +18.8%
Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat? Yes 401 0.840 $336.92 $8.92 +2.7%
Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after August 2026 meeting? No 288 0.981 $282.56 $24.47 +9.5%
Bank of England rate hike in 2026? Yes 805 0.305 $245.63 $-32.96 -11.8%
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in July? No 451 0.535 $241.52 $-31.46 -11.5%
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July? Yes 867 0.275 $238.36 $6.22 +2.7%
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? No 239 0.840 $200.97 $29.13 +17.0%
Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or less in July? Yes 289 0.560 $161.86 $25.11 +18.4%
Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting? No 190 0.780 $148.46 $5.71 +4.0%
Will the Democratic Party win the IN-01 House seat? Yes 152 0.830 $126.40 $0.00 +0.0%
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election? Yes 121 0.745 $90.51 $12.00 +15.3%
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.8% in July? No 91 0.987 $89.49 $29.49 +49.2%
Will Luke Bronin be the Democratic nominee for CT-01? Yes 121 0.735 $89.02 $7.05 +8.6%
Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting? Yes 121 0.725 $88.04 $54.88 +165.5%
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? No 278 0.310 $86.25 $-31.24 -26.6%
Will Thomas Chalifoux be the Republican nominee for FL-09? Yes 246 0.325 $79.97 $-29.13 -26.7%
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? Yes 80 0.951 $75.56 $17.64 +30.5%
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting? No 71 0.994 $70.40 $4.80 +7.3%
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? Yes 80 0.835 $66.87 $7.57 +12.8%
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No 70 0.918 $63.91 $2.31 +3.8%
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No 117 0.505 $59.07 $-18.58 -23.9%
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2026? Yes 199 0.290 $57.71 $0.99 +1.7%