Log in
Trader leaderboard/ghoan

ghoan

0x897a960452f8943b450d382f254522d992a74194
PnL (30d)
−$449
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$169
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-4.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
51%
303W / 287L · 1,054 open
Win Return (30d)
63%
1,023W / 593L · 28 open
Trades (30d)
1,644
across 196 markets · ~8 per market
EV / position
−$3.74
avg win $26 · loss $28
Profit Factor
0.76
$1,398 won / $1,847 lost
Reward / Risk
0.96
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$435
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,740 · all-time $83,654

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 51.4% 303W/287L 196 $11,823
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/3L 16 $293
🌤 Weather 50.0% 6W/6L 6 $84
💵 Economy 22.2% 2W/7L 4 $377
🎬 Culture 100.0% 1W/0L 3 $22

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

107 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in July? No 877 0.928 $813.79 $103.58 +14.6%
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting? No 902 0.895 $807.10 $111.35 +16.0%
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026? Yes 661 0.755 $499.14 $-42.02 -7.8%
Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election? Yes 552 0.745 $411.58 $65.20 +18.8%
Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat? Yes 401 0.840 $336.92 $8.92 +2.7%
Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after August 2026 meeting? No 288 0.989 $284.86 $26.77 +10.4%
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July? Yes 867 0.280 $242.70 $10.55 +4.5%
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in July? No 451 0.535 $241.52 $-31.46 -11.5%
Bank of England rate hike in 2026? Yes 805 0.290 $233.55 $-45.04 -16.2%
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? No 239 0.835 $199.77 $27.93 +16.3%
Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or less in July? Yes 289 0.560 $161.86 $25.11 +18.4%
Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting? No 190 0.780 $148.46 $5.71 +4.0%
Will the Democratic Party win the IN-01 House seat? Yes 152 0.830 $126.40 $0.00 +0.0%
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election? Yes 121 0.745 $90.51 $12.00 +15.3%
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.8% in July? No 91 0.987 $89.49 $29.49 +49.2%
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? No 278 0.320 $89.04 $-28.46 -24.2%
Will Luke Bronin be the Democratic nominee for CT-01? Yes 121 0.735 $89.02 $7.05 +8.6%
Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting? Yes 121 0.725 $88.04 $54.88 +165.5%
Will Thomas Chalifoux be the Republican nominee for FL-09? Yes 246 0.325 $79.97 $-29.13 -26.7%
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? Yes 80 0.956 $76.00 $18.08 +31.2%
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting? No 71 0.994 $70.40 $4.80 +7.3%
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? Yes 80 0.835 $66.87 $7.57 +12.8%
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No 70 0.918 $63.91 $2.31 +3.8%
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2026? Yes 199 0.310 $61.69 $4.97 +8.8%
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No 117 0.505 $59.07 $-18.58 -23.9%