PnL (30d)

+$38

Economy · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$12

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+1.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

80%

48W / 12L · 71 open

Win Return (30d)

70%

89W / 39L · 3 open

Trades (30d)

131

across 21 markets · ~6 per market

EV / position

+$4.81

avg win $27 · loss $62

Profit Factor

1.31

$162 won / $124 lost

Reward / Risk

0.44

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$110

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	59.8% 305W/205L	173	$18,159
🤖 Tech	0.0% 0W/4L	8	$665
🔬 Science	—	7	$631
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/7L	6	$1,052
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/3L	3	$639
🎬 Culture	—	2	$38
₿ Crypto	—	1	$2

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

56 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	1,205	0.962	$1,158.61	$0.72	+0.1%
Human moon landing in 2026?	No	500	0.982	$491.00	$5.00	+1.0%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	585	0.640	$374.18	$20.97	+5.9%
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	300	0.988	$296.25	$2.95	+1.0%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	350	0.825	$288.57	$25.97	+9.9%
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	250	0.905	$226.25	$1.75	+0.8%
EU dissolves before 2027?	No	200	0.978	$195.60	$2.00	+1.0%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	200	0.973	$194.60	$4.80	+2.5%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	200	0.945	$189.00	$5.00	+2.7%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	200	0.925	$185.00	$5.00	+2.8%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	200	0.845	$169.00	$25.00	+17.4%
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	200	0.825	$165.00	$17.00	+11.5%
Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes	209	0.650	$135.94	$-18.86	-12.2%
Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	200	0.625	$125.00	$17.22	+16.0%
Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2027?	No	120	0.885	$106.44	$24.76	+30.3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	100	0.968	$96.75	$0.75	+0.8%
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	100	0.944	$94.35	$1.75	+1.9%
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	100	0.885	$88.50	$2.50	+2.9%
SHEIN IPO before 2027?	Yes	96	0.916	$87.48	$6.11	+7.5%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	100	0.845	$84.50	$16.00	+23.4%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	125	0.555	$69.16	$19.47	+39.2%
Will SpaceX have between 100-119 launches in 2026?	No	60	0.973	$58.36	$-0.86	-1.5%
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	60	0.935	$56.10	$5.01	+9.8%
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	Yes	95	0.535	$50.83	$8.32	+19.6%
Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	50	0.957	$47.83	$22.82	+91.3%