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Trader leaderboard/007-Bond

007-Bond

0x894706a7e06dd3ed9bb3596c64e4c90adb0df4b4
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$0
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$16
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
no 30d activity
Win Return (30d)
81%
50W / 12L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
63
across 21 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
no settled positions
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $4 · all-time $98,567

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 57.1% 4W/3L 32 $13,737
🏛 Politics 17 $3,972

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

37 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No 2,100 0.945 $1,984.50 $256.41 +14.8%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? No 2,000 0.976 $1,952.00 $117.42 +6.4%
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? No 1,909 0.969 $1,849.32 $162.60 +9.6%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? No 1,755 0.985 $1,727.37 $11.14 +0.6%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No 1,400 0.972 $1,360.09 $46.64 +3.6%
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No 1,459 0.905 $1,320.49 $73.73 +5.9%
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No 1,500 0.750 $1,125.00 $46.00 +4.3%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? No 1,000 0.959 $958.50 $56.50 +6.3%
NATO article 5 before 2027? No 900 0.925 $832.50 $18.30 +2.2%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No 1,000 0.775 $775.00 $67.00 +9.5%
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? No 810 0.925 $749.30 $48.80 +7.0%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? No 800 0.855 $684.00 $64.00 +10.3%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No 1,000 0.635 $634.99 $85.00 +15.5%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? No 685 0.885 $606.37 $17.43 +3.0%
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by August 31, 2026? No 500 0.989 $494.25 $-0.25 -0.1%
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No 500 0.905 $452.50 $12.50 +2.8%
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? No 433 0.940 $407.04 $62.31 +18.1%
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? No 400 0.915 $366.00 $8.04 +2.2%
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by September 30? No 303 0.963 $291.43 $17.15 +6.3%
Iran nuclear test before 2027? No 300 0.955 $286.50 $4.50 +1.6%
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? No 300 0.949 $284.70 $18.70 +7.0%
Trump out as President before 2027? No 300 0.935 $280.50 $1.50 +0.5%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? Yes 300 0.915 $274.89 $20.72 +8.2%
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No 300 0.870 $261.00 $17.20 +7.1%
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No 243 0.963 $233.82 $4.49 +2.0%