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Trader leaderboard/007-Bond

007-Bond

0x894706a7e06dd3ed9bb3596c64e4c90adb0df4b4
PnL (30d)
+$12
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$406
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
57%
4W / 3L · 114 open
Win Return (30d)
87%
105W / 16L
Trades (30d)
121
across 32 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
+$5.88
avg win $12 · loss $0
Profit Factor
48.36
$12 won / $0 lost
Reward / Risk
48.36
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $4 · all-time $98,567

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 57.1% 4W/3L 32 $13,737
🏛 Politics 17 $3,972

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

37 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No 2,100 0.945 $1,984.50 $256.41 +14.8%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? No 2,000 0.975 $1,949.00 $114.42 +6.2%
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? No 1,909 0.969 $1,849.32 $162.60 +9.6%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? No 1,755 0.985 $1,727.37 $11.14 +0.6%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No 1,400 0.962 $1,346.79 $33.34 +2.5%
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No 1,459 0.905 $1,320.49 $73.73 +5.9%
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No 1,500 0.755 $1,132.50 $53.50 +5.0%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? No 1,000 0.958 $957.50 $55.50 +6.2%
NATO article 5 before 2027? No 900 0.925 $832.50 $18.30 +2.2%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No 1,000 0.775 $775.00 $67.00 +9.5%
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? No 810 0.925 $749.30 $48.80 +7.0%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? No 800 0.865 $692.00 $72.00 +11.6%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No 1,000 0.645 $644.99 $95.00 +17.3%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? No 685 0.885 $606.37 $17.43 +3.0%
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by August 31, 2026? No 500 0.989 $494.25 $-0.25 -0.1%
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No 500 0.905 $452.50 $12.50 +2.8%
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? No 433 0.940 $407.04 $62.31 +18.1%
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? No 400 0.915 $366.00 $8.04 +2.2%
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by September 30? No 303 0.963 $291.43 $17.15 +6.3%
Iran nuclear test before 2027? No 300 0.955 $286.50 $4.50 +1.6%
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? No 300 0.949 $284.70 $18.70 +7.0%
Trump out as President before 2027? No 300 0.935 $280.50 $1.50 +0.5%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? Yes 300 0.915 $274.89 $20.72 +8.2%
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No 300 0.880 $264.00 $20.20 +8.3%
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No 243 0.963 $233.82 $4.49 +2.0%