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Trader leaderboard/Hugo459440

Hugo459440

0x880d2b8f3df6881150d1ef1a1f2ac0767e39adb6
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$73
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$2
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
95%
352W / 19L · 15 open
Win Return (30d)
93%
357W / 27L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
386
across 133 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$0.58
avg win $2 · loss $29
Profit Factor
1.36
$276 won / $203 lost
Reward / Risk
0.08
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$19
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $19,455 · all-time $1,636,583

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 97.1% 1,034W/31L 346 $195,202
🌤 Weather 95.0% 76W/4L 36 $16,193
🏛 Politics 100.0% 1W/0L 1 $696

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

50 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 22°C or below on August 6? No 2,635 1.000 $2,634.06 $6.52 +0.2%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 77°F or below on August 5? No 2,463 1.000 $2,461.85 $8.24 +0.3%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 40°C or higher on August 6? No 1,468 0.990 $1,452.29 $-9.74 -0.7%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 39°C or higher on August 7? No 1,133 0.994 $1,126.18 $-4.49 -0.4%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 39°C or higher on August 7? No 997 0.997 $994.50 $-1.00 -0.1%
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? No 149 0.515 $76.93 $-8.22 -9.6%
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? No 76 0.909 $68.66 $18.66 +37.3%
Negative GDP growth in 2026? No 73 0.941 $68.38 $1.38 +2.1%
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? No 71 0.895 $63.75 $13.75 +27.5%
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes 60 0.835 $50.10 $14.10 +39.2%
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No 45 0.902 $40.29 $15.29 +61.2%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 30°C or below on August 5? No 38 1.000 $37.98 $0.06 +0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 22°C or below on August 5? No 38 1.000 $37.98 $0.06 +0.1%
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes 120 0.285 $34.19 $6.59 +23.9%
Will JOLTS Job Openings be below 7.1M in July? No 31 0.880 $27.70 $-2.52 -8.3%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C or higher on August 5? No 23 1.000 $23.00 $0.03 +0.1%
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? Yes 198 0.115 $22.72 $-50.37 -68.9%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C or below on August 6? No 22 0.998 $21.55 $0.30 +1.4%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C or below on August 5? No 18 1.000 $17.99 $0.03 +0.1%
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? No 103 0.165 $17.04 $-57.96 -77.3%
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? Yes 40 0.410 $16.40 $2.80 +20.6%
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? Yes 40 0.345 $13.80 $3.00 +27.7%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 37°C or higher on August 7? No 13 0.993 $12.88 $0.03 +0.3%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 41°C or higher on August 7? No 9 0.997 $8.85 $0.06 +0.7%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 43°C or higher on August 5? No 8 1.000 $7.98 $0.08 +1.0%