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Trader leaderboard/Hugo459440

Hugo459440

0x880d2b8f3df6881150d1ef1a1f2ac0767e39adb6
PnL (30d)
+$1,217
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$12
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
97%
1,033W / 31L · 40 open
Win Return (30d)
97%
1,067W / 34L · 3 open
Trades (30d)
1,104
across 345 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$3.78
avg win $5 · loss $27
Profit Factor
3.99
$1,625 won / $408 lost
Reward / Risk
0.19
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$76
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $16,598 · all-time $1,633,727

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 97.1% 1,033W/31L 345 $195,199
🌤 Weather 95.3% 81W/4L 41 $16,235
🏛 Politics 100.0% 1W/0L 1 $696

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

50 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 22°C or below on August 6? No 2,635 0.999 $2,632.74 $5.20 +0.2%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 77°F or below on August 5? No 2,463 1.000 $2,461.85 $8.24 +0.3%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 40°C or higher on August 6? No 705 0.995 $700.88 $0.19 +0.0%
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? No 149 0.515 $76.93 $-8.22 -9.6%
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? No 76 0.909 $68.66 $18.66 +37.3%
Negative GDP growth in 2026? No 73 0.941 $68.38 $1.38 +2.1%
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? No 71 0.895 $63.75 $13.75 +27.5%
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes 60 0.835 $50.10 $14.10 +39.2%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 39°C or higher on August 7? No 43 0.994 $42.64 $-0.13 -0.3%
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No 45 0.903 $40.33 $15.33 +61.3%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 30°C or below on August 5? No 38 1.000 $37.98 $0.06 +0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 22°C or below on August 5? No 38 1.000 $37.98 $0.06 +0.1%
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes 120 0.290 $34.80 $7.20 +26.1%
Will JOLTS Job Openings be below 7.1M in July? No 31 0.800 $25.18 $-5.04 -16.7%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C or higher on August 5? No 23 1.000 $23.00 $0.03 +0.1%
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? Yes 198 0.115 $22.72 $-50.37 -68.9%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C or below on August 6? No 22 0.997 $21.54 $0.29 +1.4%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C or below on August 5? No 18 1.000 $17.99 $0.03 +0.1%
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? No 103 0.165 $17.04 $-57.96 -77.3%
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? Yes 40 0.415 $16.60 $3.00 +22.1%
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? Yes 40 0.345 $13.80 $3.00 +27.7%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 37°C or higher on August 7? No 13 0.981 $12.73 $-0.12 -0.9%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 43°C or higher on August 5? No 8 1.000 $7.98 $0.08 +1.0%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 37°C or higher on August 6? No 8 1.000 $7.98 $0.08 +1.0%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C or below on August 5? No 8 1.000 $7.98 $0.08 +1.0%