| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
456 |
0.785 |
$358.20 |
$232.28 |
+184.5% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
293 |
0.835 |
$244.70 |
$16.13 |
+7.1% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
568 |
0.215 |
$122.04 |
$-258.58 |
-67.9% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
No |
122 |
0.745 |
$90.80 |
$23.03 |
+34.0% |
| Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? |
No |
131 |
0.665 |
$87.41 |
$11.91 |
+15.8% |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? |
No |
125 |
0.675 |
$84.25 |
$10.83 |
+14.8% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
184 |
0.450 |
$82.82 |
$-26.78 |
-24.4% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
119 |
0.675 |
$80.08 |
$10.08 |
+14.4% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
No |
180 |
0.375 |
$67.54 |
$11.61 |
+20.8% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
Yes |
82 |
0.785 |
$64.36 |
$11.02 |
+20.7% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
Yes |
78 |
0.825 |
$64.25 |
$6.49 |
+11.2% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
Yes |
65 |
0.895 |
$58.34 |
$2.82 |
+5.1% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
101 |
0.550 |
$55.42 |
$19.54 |
+54.4% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
59 |
0.926 |
$54.85 |
$2.90 |
+5.6% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? |
No |
65 |
0.785 |
$50.92 |
$15.44 |
+43.5% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
No |
55 |
0.885 |
$48.99 |
$18.38 |
+60.0% |
| Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? |
No |
60 |
0.725 |
$43.62 |
$-4.71 |
-9.7% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? |
No |
44 |
0.976 |
$43.22 |
$8.22 |
+23.5% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15? |
No |
41 |
0.940 |
$38.11 |
$8.11 |
+27.0% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
Yes |
58 |
0.625 |
$35.97 |
$-3.81 |
-9.6% |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? |
Yes |
105 |
0.325 |
$34.11 |
$0.35 |
+1.0% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? |
No |
46 |
0.700 |
$32.42 |
$-0.60 |
-1.8% |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? |
No |
33 |
0.830 |
$27.65 |
$5.33 |
+23.9% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
Yes |
167 |
0.165 |
$27.56 |
$-1.97 |
-6.7% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? |
No |
27 |
0.895 |
$24.47 |
$3.98 |
+19.4% |