| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
456 |
0.785 |
$358.20 |
$232.28 |
+184.5% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
293 |
0.845 |
$247.63 |
$19.06 |
+8.3% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
568 |
0.215 |
$122.04 |
$-258.58 |
-67.9% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
No |
122 |
0.745 |
$90.80 |
$23.03 |
+34.0% |
| Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? |
No |
131 |
0.670 |
$88.07 |
$12.57 |
+16.6% |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? |
No |
125 |
0.675 |
$84.25 |
$10.83 |
+14.8% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
119 |
0.675 |
$80.08 |
$10.08 |
+14.4% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
184 |
0.435 |
$80.06 |
$-29.54 |
-27.0% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
No |
180 |
0.375 |
$67.54 |
$11.61 |
+20.8% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
Yes |
78 |
0.835 |
$65.03 |
$7.27 |
+12.6% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
Yes |
82 |
0.770 |
$63.13 |
$9.79 |
+18.3% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
101 |
0.565 |
$56.92 |
$21.04 |
+58.6% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
59 |
0.927 |
$54.91 |
$2.96 |
+5.7% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
Yes |
59 |
0.905 |
$53.63 |
$3.45 |
+6.9% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
No |
55 |
0.935 |
$51.76 |
$21.15 |
+69.1% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? |
No |
65 |
0.785 |
$50.92 |
$15.44 |
+43.5% |
| Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? |
No |
60 |
0.725 |
$43.62 |
$-4.71 |
-9.7% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? |
No |
44 |
0.975 |
$43.18 |
$8.18 |
+23.4% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15? |
No |
41 |
0.945 |
$38.31 |
$8.31 |
+27.7% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
Yes |
58 |
0.625 |
$35.97 |
$-3.81 |
-9.6% |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? |
Yes |
105 |
0.325 |
$34.11 |
$0.35 |
+1.0% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? |
No |
46 |
0.680 |
$31.49 |
$-1.53 |
-4.6% |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? |
No |
33 |
0.830 |
$27.65 |
$5.33 |
+23.9% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
Yes |
167 |
0.155 |
$25.89 |
$-3.64 |
-12.3% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
77 |
0.320 |
$24.53 |
$8.16 |
+49.8% |