PnL (30d)

+$2,553

Culture · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$21

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+68.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

53%

1,005W / 892L · 56 open

Win Return (30d)

54%

1,045W / 907L · 1 open

Trades (30d)

1,953

across 62 markets · ~32 per market

EV / position

+$62.26

avg win $183 · loss $65

Profit Factor

2.98

$3,843 won / $1,291 lost

Reward / Risk

2.84

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$756

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	52.8% 1,010W/903L	85	$10,919
🏛 Politics	70.1% 103W/44L	30	$4,675
🎬 Culture	70.1% 103W/44L	30	$4,675

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

52 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	582	0.113	$65.78	$46.79	+246.4%
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	475	0.125	$59.43	$49.09	+475.0%
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	505	0.115	$57.87	$44.84	+344.0%
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	568	0.102	$57.62	$38.97	+209.0%
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	475	0.115	$54.68	$44.34	+429.0%
Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in August 2026?	Yes	329	0.160	$52.72	$43.33	+461.4%
Will Elon Musk post 760-779 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	533	0.069	$36.53	$24.99	+216.5%
Will Elon Musk post 780-799 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	475	0.075	$35.90	$25.56	+247.3%
Will Elon Musk post 740-759 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	391	0.063	$24.64	$15.72	+176.4%
Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	513	0.032	$16.17	$5.75	+55.1%
Will Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	466	0.025	$11.41	$2.16	+23.4%
Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	508	0.018	$9.39	$-0.93	-9.0%
Will Elon Musk post 660-679 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	502	0.018	$8.79	$-1.43	-14.0%
Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	510	0.015	$7.90	$-2.42	-23.4%
Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	523	0.015	$7.59	$-2.84	-27.2%
Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	475	0.015	$7.13	$-3.20	-31.0%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	100	0.065	$6.50	$-2.50	-27.8%
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	523	0.011	$6.02	$-4.41	-42.3%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	100	0.045	$4.50	$-1.50	-25.0%
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	498	0.006	$3.24	$-7.19	-69.0%
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	1,205	0.002	$2.41	$-2.43	-50.2%
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	475	0.004	$2.14	$-8.20	-79.3%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	100	0.018	$1.85	$-1.25	-40.3%
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	528	0.003	$1.32	$-9.12	-87.3%
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	516	0.002	$1.03	$-9.38	-90.1%