PnL (30d)

+$2,585

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$18

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+56.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

53%

1,010W / 903L · 81 open

Win Return (30d)

53%

1,061W / 932L · 1 open

Trades (30d)

1,994

across 85 markets · ~23 per market

EV / position

+$52.76

avg win $163 · loss $53

Profit Factor

2.96

$3,905 won / $1,319 lost

Reward / Risk

3.08

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$773

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	52.8% 1,010W/903L	85	$10,919
🏛 Politics	69.5% 107W/47L	31	$4,705
🎬 Culture	69.5% 107W/47L	31	$4,705

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

52 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	582	0.113	$65.78	$46.79	+246.4%
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	475	0.125	$59.43	$49.09	+475.0%
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	505	0.115	$57.87	$44.84	+344.0%
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	568	0.102	$57.62	$38.97	+209.0%
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	475	0.115	$54.68	$44.34	+429.0%
Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in August 2026?	Yes	329	0.160	$52.72	$43.33	+461.4%
Will Elon Musk post 760-779 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	533	0.069	$36.53	$24.99	+216.5%
Will Elon Musk post 780-799 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	475	0.075	$35.90	$25.56	+247.3%
Will Elon Musk post 740-759 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	391	0.063	$24.64	$15.72	+176.4%
Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	513	0.030	$15.66	$5.23	+50.2%
Will Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	466	0.024	$11.18	$1.93	+20.8%
Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	508	0.018	$9.39	$-0.93	-9.0%
Will Elon Musk post 660-679 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	502	0.017	$8.54	$-1.69	-16.5%
Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	510	0.015	$7.90	$-2.42	-23.4%
Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	523	0.015	$7.59	$-2.84	-27.2%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	100	0.075	$7.50	$-1.50	-16.7%
Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	475	0.015	$6.89	$-3.44	-33.3%
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	523	0.011	$6.02	$-4.41	-42.3%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	100	0.045	$4.50	$-1.50	-25.0%
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	498	0.005	$2.49	$-7.94	-76.1%
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	1,205	0.002	$2.41	$-2.43	-50.2%
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	475	0.004	$2.14	$-8.20	-79.3%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	100	0.019	$1.90	$-1.20	-38.7%
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	528	0.003	$1.32	$-9.12	-87.3%
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	516	0.002	$1.03	$-9.38	-90.1%