| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? |
No |
18,943 |
0.966 |
$18,299.01 |
$1,293.98 |
+7.6% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
No |
16,083 |
0.900 |
$14,475.05 |
$2,241.65 |
+18.3% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
No |
11,314 |
0.930 |
$10,521.85 |
$884.82 |
+9.2% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? |
No |
12,932 |
0.590 |
$7,630.03 |
$1,083.21 |
+16.5% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? |
No |
4,771 |
0.850 |
$4,055.58 |
$24.00 |
+0.6% |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? |
No |
2,857 |
0.981 |
$2,801.44 |
$510.59 |
+22.3% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
5,146 |
0.215 |
$1,106.46 |
$-2,355.91 |
-68.0% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
No |
2,370 |
0.175 |
$414.83 |
$-1,021.50 |
-71.1% |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? |
No |
401 |
0.860 |
$344.58 |
$0.18 |
+0.1% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
No |
522 |
0.644 |
$335.91 |
$15.61 |
+4.9% |
| Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
Yes |
300 |
0.951 |
$285.30 |
$30.30 |
+11.9% |
| Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
90 |
0.735 |
$66.44 |
$-6.78 |
-9.3% |
| Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
62 |
0.780 |
$48.35 |
$-1.31 |
-2.6% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
No |
30 |
0.380 |
$11.57 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |