| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? |
No |
23,343 |
0.969 |
$22,619.43 |
$1,664.57 |
+7.9% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
No |
15,083 |
0.915 |
$13,801.40 |
$2,467.83 |
+21.8% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
No |
11,314 |
0.920 |
$10,408.71 |
$771.68 |
+8.0% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? |
No |
9,695 |
0.600 |
$5,817.16 |
$1,276.03 |
+28.1% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? |
No |
4,449 |
0.845 |
$3,759.63 |
$1.76 |
+0.0% |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? |
No |
2,857 |
0.980 |
$2,800.01 |
$509.16 |
+22.2% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
5,146 |
0.215 |
$1,106.46 |
$-2,355.91 |
-68.0% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
No |
2,370 |
0.175 |
$414.83 |
$-1,021.50 |
-71.1% |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? |
No |
401 |
0.861 |
$344.99 |
$0.58 |
+0.2% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
No |
522 |
0.643 |
$335.65 |
$15.35 |
+4.8% |
| Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
Yes |
300 |
0.953 |
$285.90 |
$30.90 |
+12.1% |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
No |
148 |
0.997 |
$147.58 |
$3.76 |
+2.6% |
| Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
90 |
0.595 |
$53.78 |
$-19.43 |
-26.5% |
| Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
62 |
0.740 |
$45.87 |
$-3.79 |
-7.6% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
No |
30 |
0.375 |
$11.42 |
$-0.15 |
-1.3% |