Log in
Trader leaderboard/-Guapo--

-Guapo--

0x87256d0406f876184a66cc158415903bb242eb10
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$167
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$15
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+12.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
3W / 0L · 12 open
Win Return (30d)
100%
15W / 0L
Trades (30d)
15
across 3 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
+$167.27
avg win $167
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $302,001 · all-time $7,783,343

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 41.4% 3,589W/5,072L 996 $416,713
⚽ Sports 46.4% 1,566W/1,808L 381 $151,314
🏛 Politics 1 $42

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

34 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 15,788 0.461 $7,270.28 $-2,221.79 -23.4%
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 5,778 0.967 $5,587.27 $2,176.94 +63.8%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group Nongshim Red Force 5,330 0.565 $3,010.90 $-336.93 -10.1%
Will Indiana Fever win the 2026 WNBA Finals? No 2,384 0.890 $2,121.77 $18.91 +0.9%
Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals? No 2,256 0.912 $2,059.00 $2.33 +0.1%
Will Minnesota Lynx win the 2026 WNBA Finals? No 3,311 0.565 $1,870.42 $-342.33 -15.5%
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? No 2,382 0.715 $1,703.02 $8.11 +0.5%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 1,614 0.905 $1,460.60 $409.01 +38.9%
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes 2,197 0.655 $1,439.17 $32.48 +2.3%
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No 1,106 0.954 $1,054.18 $9.43 +0.9%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group HANJIN BRION 2,010 0.435 $874.34 $273.31 +45.5%
Will Flamengo win Brazil Série A? No 677 0.625 $423.40 $68.44 +19.3%
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 414 0.989 $409.23 $62.68 +18.1%
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes 3,102 0.125 $387.75 $-88.33 -18.6%
Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals? No 320 0.895 $286.35 $13.35 +4.9%
Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 American League Championship Series? No 225 0.905 $203.62 $23.62 +13.1%
Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026? No 147 0.912 $133.94 $4.49 +3.5%
FK Auda Riga vs. Ogre United: FK Auda Riga O/U 2.5 Over 217 0.500 $108.51 $0.00 +0.0%
Will TSG Hoffenheim win on 2026-08-01? No 492 0.102 $49.94 $-168.22 -77.1%
Spread: TSG Hoffenheim (-1.5) Karlsruher SC 138 0.251 $34.52 $-56.44 -62.0%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 477 0.022 $10.73 $-6.07 -36.1%
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes 22 0.395 $8.80 $-3.05 -25.7%
Will Top Esports win the LPL 2026 season? Yes 63 0.096 $6.02 $4.57 +315.2%
CA Guemes vs. CSD Tristan Suarez: O/U 1.5 Under 210 0.019 $4.09 $-98.80 -96.0%
Will Anyone's Legend win the LPL 2026 season? Yes 18 0.175 $3.24 $-0.30 -8.5%