PnL (30d)

−$78

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$1

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-9.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

61%

11W / 7L · 64 open

Win Return (30d)

37%

28W / 48L · 6 open

Trades (30d)

82

across 21 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

−$13.07

avg win $18 · loss $28

Profit Factor

0.31

$35 won / $114 lost

Reward / Risk

0.62

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	36.8% 88W/151L	156	$9,507
⚽ Sports	25.0% 8W/24L	20	$409
🏛 Politics	100.0% 10W/0L	12	$745
💵 Economy	100.0% 1W/0L	2	$69
🎬 Culture	—	1	$33

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

3 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?	Yes	31	0.705	$21.86	$3.31	+17.8%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	30	0.625	$18.95	$1.06	+5.9%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?	Yes	10	0.655	$6.55	$2.05	+45.6%