PnL (30d)

−$520

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$37

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-8.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

37%

88W / 151L · 175 open

Win Return (30d)

34%

137W / 265L · 12 open

Trades (30d)

414

across 156 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

−$4.52

avg win $24 · loss $22

Profit Factor

0.67

$1,054 won / $1,574 lost

Reward / Risk

1.08

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$261

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	36.8% 88W/151L	156	$9,507
⚽ Sports	35.1% 13W/24L	24	$572
🏛 Politics	81.8% 9W/2L	12	$769
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/2L	2	$93
🎬 Culture	—	1	$33

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

3 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?	Yes	31	0.715	$22.17	$3.62	+19.5%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	30	0.625	$18.95	$1.06	+5.9%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?	Yes	10	0.735	$7.35	$2.85	+63.3%