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Trader leaderboard/0x86Dd5200572b3EAe548d8fd9E807b78468D41Af2-1768052013112

0x86Dd5200572b3EAe548d8fd9E807b78468D41Af2-1768052013112

0x86dd5200572b3eae548d8fd9e807b78468d41af2
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$1
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$9
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
30%
9W / 21L · 643 open
Win Return (30d)
62%
417W / 256L
Trades (30d)
673
across 52 markets · ~13 per market
EV / position
+$0.18
avg win $2 · loss $1
Profit Factor
1.39
$2 won / $1 lost
Reward / Risk
2.79
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$0
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $13,009 · all-time $526,208

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 58.0% 1,259W/911L 325 $24,455
🏛 Politics 100.0% 56W/0L 67 $1,890
💵 Economy 32.1% 9W/19L 39 $1,580
₿ Crypto 32.1% 9W/19L 31 $1,735
🤖 Tech — 23 $233
🎬 Culture 100.0% 50W/0L 15 $530
⚽ Sports 85.1% 57W/10L 8 $995
🔬 Science — 1 $1

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

129 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? No 20 0.725 $14.50 $-0.10 -0.7%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? No 17 0.811 $14.19 $-1.09 -7.1%
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? No 20 0.635 $12.70 $0.30 +2.4%
Will Trump say "Six Seven" in August? Yes 18 0.675 $12.25 $-1.20 -8.9%
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? No 20 0.582 $11.62 $0.06 +0.5%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No 17 0.655 $11.39 $-0.58 -4.8%
Will Trump say "Slob" in August? Yes 20 0.550 $11.00 $-0.70 -6.0%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in August? No 13 0.870 $10.92 $0.62 +6.0%
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No 15 0.685 $10.27 $-0.58 -5.4%
Will Shein's closing IPO market cap be at least 250B HKD? No 15 0.575 $8.62 $-0.32 -3.6%
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? Yes 15 0.565 $8.47 $-0.44 -5.0%
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? No 10 0.840 $8.40 $-0.20 -2.3%
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026? No 13 0.625 $8.25 $-0.16 -1.9%
Will Trump say "Gay" in August? Yes 20 0.405 $8.10 $-0.80 -9.0%
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? Yes 12 0.655 $8.01 $0.18 +2.3%
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? Yes 14 0.535 $7.65 $0.05 +0.7%
Will Shein's closing IPO market cap be at least 350B HKD? No 10 0.745 $7.45 $-0.85 -10.2%
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? No 10 0.665 $6.65 $-0.15 -2.2%
Will Trump say "Soaking Wet" in August? No 15 0.450 $6.65 $-0.59 -8.1%
Will Shein's closing IPO market cap be at least 300B HKD? No 10 0.660 $6.60 $-1.40 -17.5%
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 by December 31, 2026? No 10 0.630 $6.30 $-0.30 -4.5%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No 10 0.605 $6.05 $0.15 +2.5%
Discord IPO before 2027? Yes 20 0.294 $5.88 $-0.46 -7.3%
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? Yes 10 0.570 $5.70 $-0.20 -3.4%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? No 10 0.545 $5.47 $-0.65 -10.7%