PnL (30d)

−$44

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$60

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-0.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

58%

1,259W / 911L · 3,699 open

Win Return (30d)

71%

4,033W / 1,667L · 169 open

Trades (30d)

5,869

across 325 markets · ~18 per market

EV / position

−$0.48

avg win $3 · loss $3

Profit Factor

0.69

$95 won / $139 lost

Reward / Risk

0.96

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$3

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	58.0% 1,259W/911L	325	$24,455
🏛 Politics	100.0% 56W/0L	67	$1,890
💵 Economy	32.1% 9W/19L	39	$1,580
₿ Crypto	32.1% 9W/19L	31	$1,735
🤖 Tech	—	23	$233
🎬 Culture	100.0% 50W/0L	15	$530
⚽ Sports	85.1% 57W/10L	8	$995
🔬 Science	—	1	$1

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

128 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	17	0.822	$14.37	$-0.91	-6.0%
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?	No	20	0.631	$12.62	$0.22	+1.8%
Will Trump say "Six Seven" in August?	Yes	18	0.675	$12.25	$-1.20	-8.9%
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?	No	20	0.582	$11.62	$0.06	+0.5%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	No	17	0.635	$11.04	$-0.93	-7.7%
Will Trump say "Slob" in August?	Yes	20	0.550	$11.00	$-0.70	-6.0%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in August?	No	13	0.835	$10.48	$0.18	+1.8%
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	15	0.685	$10.27	$-0.58	-5.4%
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?	Yes	15	0.565	$8.47	$-0.44	-5.0%
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	10	0.840	$8.40	$-0.20	-2.3%
Will Shein's closing IPO market cap be at least 250B HKD?	No	15	0.560	$8.40	$-0.55	-6.1%
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?	No	13	0.625	$8.25	$-0.16	-1.9%
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?	Yes	12	0.655	$8.01	$0.18	+2.3%
Will Trump say "Gay" in August?	Yes	20	0.400	$8.00	$-0.90	-10.1%
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?	Yes	14	0.535	$7.65	$0.05	+0.7%
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	No	10	0.725	$7.25	$-0.25	-3.3%
Will Shein's closing IPO market cap be at least 300B HKD?	No	10	0.725	$7.25	$-0.75	-9.4%
Will Shein's closing IPO market cap be at least 350B HKD?	No	10	0.705	$7.05	$-1.25	-15.1%
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	10	0.665	$6.65	$-0.15	-2.2%
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	10	0.630	$6.30	$-0.30	-4.5%
Will Trump say "Soaking Wet" in August?	No	15	0.425	$6.28	$-0.96	-13.2%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	No	10	0.595	$5.95	$0.05	+0.8%
Discord IPO before 2027?	Yes	20	0.294	$5.88	$-0.46	-7.3%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	10	0.575	$5.77	$-0.35	-5.8%
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?	Yes	10	0.570	$5.70	$-0.20	-3.4%