| Will ground beef hit $10 per pound in 2026? |
No |
9 |
0.765 |
$6.50 |
$-0.50 |
-7.1% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.905 |
$4.58 |
$0.58 |
+14.5% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August? |
No |
4 |
0.962 |
$3.80 |
$0.80 |
+26.5% |
| Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona? |
No |
6 |
0.665 |
$3.79 |
$-0.21 |
-5.3% |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro be the VP candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro? |
No |
4 |
0.880 |
$3.74 |
$-0.26 |
-6.4% |
| Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? |
Yes |
6 |
0.585 |
$3.60 |
$-1.40 |
-28.0% |
| Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting? |
No |
3 |
0.988 |
$3.25 |
$0.25 |
+8.4% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August? |
No |
3 |
0.974 |
$2.97 |
$-0.03 |
-0.9% |
| Will ground beef hit $9 per pound in 2026? |
No |
4 |
0.665 |
$2.47 |
$-0.53 |
-17.7% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? |
No |
2 |
0.973 |
$2.32 |
$0.32 |
+15.8% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August? |
No |
2 |
0.984 |
$2.12 |
$0.12 |
+5.8% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? |
No |
3 |
0.760 |
$2.11 |
$0.11 |
+5.6% |
| Will Spider-Man die in Avengers: Doomsday? |
No |
4 |
0.575 |
$2.09 |
$0.09 |
+4.5% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
No |
2 |
0.920 |
$2.09 |
$0.09 |
+4.5% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by August 31? |
No |
2 |
0.991 |
$2.07 |
$0.07 |
+3.7% |
| NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors? |
No |
2 |
0.967 |
$2.06 |
$0.06 |
+3.0% |
| Will Tom Cruise be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? |
No |
7 |
0.305 |
$2.05 |
$-0.95 |
-31.7% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in August? |
No |
2 |
0.950 |
$2.02 |
$0.02 |
+1.1% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? |
No |
2 |
0.865 |
$2.01 |
$0.01 |
+0.6% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? |
No |
2 |
0.860 |
$1.98 |
$-0.02 |
-1.1% |
| Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? |
No |
2 |
0.820 |
$1.98 |
$-0.02 |
-1.2% |
| Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election? |
Yes |
2 |
0.745 |
$1.85 |
$-0.14 |
-6.9% |
| Will Juliana Brizola win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election? |
No |
3 |
0.640 |
$1.81 |
$-0.20 |
-9.8% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
2 |
0.645 |
$1.50 |
$0.50 |
+50.0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
No |
2 |
0.745 |
$1.22 |
$0.22 |
+22.1% |