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Trader leaderboard/0x86AaC2Dc1708b2b778D4507F9C5ba1058aD32682-1769308593364

0x86AaC2Dc1708b2b778D4507F9C5ba1058aD32682-1769308593364

0x86aac2dc1708b2b778d4507f9c5ba1058ad32682
PnL (30d)
+$5
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$3
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+4.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
96%
25W / 1L · 45 open
Win Return (30d)
68%
44W / 21L · 6 open
Trades (30d)
71
across 65 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
+$0.19
avg win $0 · loss $1
Profit Factor
5.51
$6 won / $1 lost
Reward / Risk
0.24
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$1
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $61 · all-time $1,763

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 96.2% 25W/1L 65 $125
💵 Economy 8 $13
🏛 Politics 6 $14
₿ Crypto 5 $8
⚽ Sports 3 $3
🤖 Tech 3 $5
🎬 Culture 2 $2

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

58 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will ground beef hit $10 per pound in 2026? No 9 0.765 $6.50 $-0.50 -7.1%
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No 5 0.905 $4.58 $0.58 +14.5%
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? Yes 6 0.645 $3.97 $-1.03 -20.6%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August? No 4 0.956 $3.77 $0.77 +25.8%
Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona? No 6 0.645 $3.67 $-0.33 -8.2%
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting? No 3 0.988 $3.25 $0.25 +8.4%
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August? No 3 0.971 $2.96 $-0.04 -1.2%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro be the VP candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro? No 4 0.665 $2.83 $-1.17 -29.3%
Will ground beef hit $9 per pound in 2026? No 4 0.650 $2.41 $-0.59 -19.5%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? No 2 0.966 $2.30 $0.30 +15.0%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? No 3 0.770 $2.14 $0.14 +6.9%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August? No 2 0.985 $2.12 $0.12 +5.9%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No 2 0.930 $2.11 $0.11 +5.7%
Will Spider-Man die in Avengers: Doomsday? No 4 0.575 $2.09 $0.09 +4.5%
Will Tom Cruise be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? No 7 0.310 $2.08 $-0.92 -30.6%
Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by August 31? No 2 0.991 $2.07 $0.07 +3.7%
NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors? No 2 0.967 $2.06 $0.06 +3.1%
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No 2 0.870 $2.02 $0.02 +1.2%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in August? No 2 0.935 $1.99 $-0.01 -0.5%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No 2 0.865 $1.99 $-0.01 -0.6%
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? No 2 0.820 $1.98 $-0.02 -1.2%
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election? Yes 2 0.745 $1.85 $-0.14 -6.9%
Will Juliana Brizola win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election? No 3 0.640 $1.81 $-0.20 -9.8%
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? Yes 11 0.160 $1.71 $-4.29 -71.5%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 2 0.645 $1.50 $0.50 +50.0%