PnL (30d)

+$33

Culture · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$3

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+1.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

61%

433W / 280L · 35 open

Win Return (30d)

62%

456W / 280L · 12 open

Trades (30d)

748

across 156 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

+$0.23

avg win $2 · loss $2

Profit Factor

1.25

$166 won / $134 lost

Reward / Risk

1.41

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$37

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	59.8% 3,691W/2,484L	1242	$23,087
₿ Crypto	57.1% 687W/516L	278	$5,276
🎬 Culture	63.1% 310W/181L	98	$2,404

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

34 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
XRP Up or Down on August 5?	Down	40	0.945	$37.78	$6.78	+21.9%
HYPE Up or Down on August 5?	Up	25	0.925	$23.37	$0.91	+4.0%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on August 5?	No	20	0.988	$20.01	$0.39	+2.0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 5?	Yes	20	1.000	$19.99	$0.01	+0.0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 5?	No	20	1.000	$19.99	$0.01	+0.0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on August 5?	No	20	1.000	$19.99	$0.01	+0.0%
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,300 on August 5?	No	20	1.000	$19.99	$0.05	+0.3%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on August 5?	No	20	0.998	$19.96	$0.02	+0.1%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on August 5?	Yes	20	0.982	$19.64	$-0.26	-1.3%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on August 5?	Yes	20	0.982	$19.63	$0.43	+2.2%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on August 5?	No	20	0.951	$19.01	$2.21	+13.2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 5?	No	20	0.945	$18.90	$1.90	+11.2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 5?	No	20	0.715	$14.30	$0.80	+5.9%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 5?	Yes	20	0.705	$14.10	$-0.10	-0.7%
Solana Up or Down on August 5?	Down	22	0.545	$11.89	$-0.32	-2.6%
Ethereum Up or Down on August 5?	Up	20	0.515	$10.30	$1.90	+22.6%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 5?	No	10	0.999	$9.98	$-0.01	-0.1%
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 5?	Down	20	0.415	$8.30	$1.90	+29.7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 5?	No	20	0.295	$5.90	$0.50	+9.3%
Ethereum Up or Down - August 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	9	0.595	$5.46	$0.78	+16.7%
XRP Up or Down - August 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	9	0.380	$3.43	$-0.72	-17.4%
Solana Up or Down on August 5?	Up	6	0.455	$2.90	$0.00	+0.1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	6	0.375	$2.33	$-0.59	-20.2%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on August 5?	No	20	0.055	$1.10	$-2.30	-67.6%
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	5	0.175	$0.83	$-1.49	-64.3%