PnL (30d)

+$265

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$17

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+1.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

60%

3,685W / 2,472L · 239 open

Win Return (30d)

60%

3,739W / 2,497L · 160 open

Trades (30d)

6,396

across 1,242 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

+$0.25

avg win $3 · loss $2

Profit Factor

1.23

$1,402 won / $1,138 lost

Reward / Risk

1.17

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$76

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	59.9% 3,685W/2,472L	1242	$23,087
₿ Crypto	59.0% 778W/540L	314	$5,620
🎬 Culture	61.4% 318W/200L	108	$2,476

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

31 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
HYPE Up or Down on August 5?	Up	25	0.925	$23.37	$0.91	+4.0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 5?	Yes	20	1.000	$19.99	$0.01	+0.0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on August 5?	No	20	1.000	$19.99	$0.01	+0.0%
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,300 on August 5?	No	20	1.000	$19.99	$0.05	+0.3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 5?	No	20	0.999	$19.98	$0.00	+0.0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on August 5?	No	20	0.998	$19.96	$0.02	+0.1%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on August 5?	Yes	20	0.967	$19.33	$0.13	+0.7%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on August 5?	No	20	0.920	$18.40	$1.60	+9.5%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 5?	No	20	0.915	$18.30	$1.30	+7.6%
XRP Up or Down on August 5?	Down	20	0.870	$17.40	$4.80	+38.1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 5?	No	20	0.675	$13.50	$0.00	+0.0%
XRP Up or Down - August 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	24	0.570	$13.40	$-1.36	-9.2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 5?	Yes	20	0.665	$13.30	$-0.90	-6.3%
Ethereum Up or Down on August 5?	Up	20	0.530	$10.60	$2.20	+26.2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 5?	No	10	0.998	$9.98	$-0.01	-0.1%
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 5?	Down	20	0.440	$8.80	$2.40	+37.5%
Ethereum Up or Down - August 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	20	0.420	$8.40	$-2.00	-19.2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	14	0.495	$6.93	$0.18	+2.7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 5?	No	20	0.335	$6.70	$1.30	+24.1%
Solana Up or Down on August 5?	Up	5	0.595	$2.81	$0.47	+20.3%
Solana Up or Down - August 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	10	0.260	$2.60	$-0.90	-25.7%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on August 5?	No	20	0.085	$1.70	$-1.70	-50.0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	5	0.175	$0.89	$0.33	+59.1%
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	5	0.175	$0.83	$-1.49	-64.3%
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	3	0.265	$0.80	$-0.43	-35.4%