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Trader

0x864fecd33f7d4ea8acb8e4b625fa58c230dd3ae7
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$4
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$13
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
62%
94W / 57L · 15 open
Win Return (30d)
60%
98W / 66L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
166
across 44 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
+$0.13
avg win $5 · loss $5
Profit Factor
1.05
$91 won / $86 lost
Reward / Risk
1.05
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$28
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $5,017 · all-time $134,106

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 63.5% 457W/263L 193 $17,778
⚽ Sports 73.8% 79W/28L 32 $3,250
🏛 Politics 68.8% 33W/15L 17 $1,473
🎬 Culture 58.3% 21W/15L 16 $1,007
🌤 Weather 100.0% 4W/0L 1 $517
🤖 Tech 1 $101

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

11 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026? No 122 0.923 $112.31 $-0.32 -0.3%
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026? No 102 0.969 $98.43 $-1.07 -1.1%
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? No 103 0.957 $98.37 $5.23 +5.6%
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 1, 2026? No 101 0.958 $96.52 $5.12 +5.6%
Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? No 31 0.996 $31.21 $-0.04 -0.1%
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 3, 2026? No 23 0.835 $18.98 $-1.02 -5.1%
Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026? No 10 0.995 $9.96 $-0.04 -0.4%
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? Yes 64 0.125 $7.96 $1.20 +17.7%
Will "Japan" be in the headlines this week? No 9 0.655 $5.95 $0.95 +19.1%
Will White House post 200+ posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? Yes 12 0.445 $5.56 $-4.44 -44.4%
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? No 4 0.990 $3.78 $0.00 +0.0%