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Trader leaderboard/Knowyourball

Knowyourball

0x8594c920aebb0fdbd76ec860a558017a69037eed
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$9
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$100
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
64%
7W / 4L · 17 open
Win Return (30d)
71%
20W / 8L
Trades (30d)
28
across 12 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$2.32
avg win $31 · loss $36
Profit Factor
0.87
$63 won / $72 lost
Reward / Risk
0.87
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$72
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $9,682 · all-time $497,788

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 51.9% 126W/117L 181 $32,717
⚽ Sports 56.7% 17W/13L 26 $2,375
🏛 Politics 100.0% 8W/0L 11 $3,331
🎬 Culture 50.0% 4W/4L 6 $1,102
💵 Economy 100.0% 6W/0L 3 $397
₿ Crypto 100.0% 3W/0L 2 $147
🤖 Tech 2 $339

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

63 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of August 2026? Yes 754 0.665 $501.40 $-78.20 -13.5%
Will Rhea Seehorn – “Pluribus” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a drama series? Yes 620 0.765 $473.98 $-29.92 -5.9%
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes 449 0.845 $379.74 $25.74 +7.3%
Will “The Traitors” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding reality/competition series? Yes 425 0.807 $342.96 $33.97 +11.0%
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No 403 0.765 $307.99 $-2.01 -0.6%
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 326 0.745 $242.67 $43.65 +21.9%
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? Yes 330 0.655 $216.21 $17.52 +8.8%
Will “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding drama series? Yes 235 0.905 $212.94 $12.94 +6.5%
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? No 312 0.680 $211.85 $4.85 +2.3%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 241 0.865 $208.43 $8.43 +4.2%
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027? No 251 0.790 $198.00 $-2.00 -1.0%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes 256 0.675 $173.12 $13.12 +8.2%
Will Katherine LaNasa – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series? Yes 216 0.705 $152.53 $2.53 +1.7%
Will Kate O’Flynn – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series? Yes 209 0.662 $138.70 $33.70 +32.1%
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes 150 0.855 $128.25 $20.25 +18.8%
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? Yes 251 0.495 $124.42 $-85.57 -40.7%
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No 141 0.865 $122.07 $22.07 +22.1%
Will ByteDance have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of August 2026? Yes 381 0.305 $116.09 $16.09 +16.1%
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30? Yes 330 0.350 $115.50 $-6.40 -5.2%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? Yes 150 0.690 $103.48 $4.48 +4.5%
Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? No 130 0.785 $102.05 $1.95 +1.9%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? Yes 196 0.515 $100.98 $0.98 +1.0%
Will HBO Max win the most Emmys? Yes 149 0.665 $99.25 $-0.75 -0.7%
Kash Patel out by December 31? No 125 0.790 $98.83 $18.83 +23.5%
Will Jean Smart – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series? Yes 110 0.890 $98.29 $-1.71 -1.7%