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Trader leaderboard/Knowyourball

Knowyourball

0x8594c920aebb0fdbd76ec860a558017a69037eed
PnL (30d)
−$395
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$832
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-2.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
52%
126W / 117L · 251 open
Win Return (30d)
40%
197W / 297L
Trades (30d)
494
across 181 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$3.76
avg win $40 · loss $64
Profit Factor
0.86
$2,414 won / $2,809 lost
Reward / Risk
0.62
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$332
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $9,682 · all-time $497,788

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 51.9% 126W/117L 181 $32,717
⚽ Sports 61.8% 21W/13L 28 $2,532
🏛 Politics 100.0% 8W/0L 14 $3,515
🎬 Culture 50.0% 4W/4L 6 $1,102
💵 Economy 75.0% 6W/2L 4 $607
🤖 Tech 0.0% 0W/2L 3 $549
₿ Crypto 100.0% 3W/0L 2 $147

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

63 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of August 2026? Yes 754 0.655 $493.86 $-85.74 -14.8%
Will Rhea Seehorn – “Pluribus” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a drama series? Yes 620 0.765 $473.98 $-29.92 -5.9%
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes 449 0.845 $379.74 $25.74 +7.3%
Will “The Traitors” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding reality/competition series? Yes 425 0.807 $342.96 $33.97 +11.0%
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No 403 0.765 $307.99 $-2.01 -0.6%
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 326 0.747 $243.32 $44.31 +22.3%
Will “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding drama series? Yes 235 0.905 $212.94 $12.94 +6.5%
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? Yes 330 0.635 $209.61 $10.91 +5.5%
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? No 312 0.670 $208.73 $1.73 +0.8%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 241 0.865 $208.43 $8.43 +4.2%
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027? No 251 0.795 $199.25 $-0.75 -0.4%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes 256 0.675 $173.12 $13.12 +8.2%
Will Katherine LaNasa – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series? Yes 216 0.705 $152.53 $2.53 +1.7%
Will Kate O’Flynn – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series? Yes 209 0.661 $138.39 $33.39 +31.8%
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes 150 0.855 $128.25 $20.25 +18.8%
Will ByteDance have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of August 2026? Yes 381 0.306 $116.47 $16.47 +16.5%
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30? Yes 330 0.350 $115.50 $-6.40 -5.2%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? Yes 150 0.745 $111.75 $12.75 +12.9%
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? Yes 251 0.440 $110.60 $-99.40 -47.3%
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No 141 0.775 $109.37 $9.37 +9.4%
Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? No 130 0.785 $102.05 $1.95 +1.9%
Will HBO Max win the most Emmys? Yes 149 0.665 $99.25 $-0.75 -0.7%
Will Jean Smart – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series? Yes 110 0.890 $98.29 $-1.71 -1.7%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? Yes 196 0.495 $97.06 $-2.94 -2.9%
Kash Patel out by December 31? No 125 0.775 $96.95 $16.95 +21.2%