PnL (30d)

−$0

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$1

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

—

no reliable basis

Win Resolved (30d)

—

no 30d activity

Win Return (30d)

0%

0W / 1L · 1 open

Trades (30d)

2

across 2 markets · ~1 per market

EV / position

—

no settled positions

Profit Factor

∞

no losses yet

Reward / Risk

—

need wins & losses

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	—	2	$2
🏛 Politics	—	1	$1

Open positions

9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	70	0.855	$59.69	$10.12	+20.4%
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	Yes	15	0.804	$11.72	$1.81	+18.3%
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	Yes	121	0.081	$9.76	$-10.07	-50.8%
New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	142	0.065	$9.20	$-10.62	-53.6%
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	86	0.095	$8.19	$-11.64	-58.7%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	4	0.835	$3.51	$0.27	+8.4%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	150	0.023	$3.45	$-1.50	-30.3%
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes	4	0.275	$1.05	$-0.02	-1.8%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	Yes	21	0.019	$0.41	$-0.59	-59.4%