Trader
0x858457d1f280b100d382ae51b6c4857fb5d6bbe4
PnL (30d)
−$0
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
—
no reliable basis
Win Resolved (30d)
—
no 30d activity
Win Return (30d)
0%
0W / 1L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
2
across 2 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
—
no settled positions
Profit Factor
∞
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $32,285
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Open positions
9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
No |
70 |
0.855 |
$59.69 |
$10.12 |
+20.4% |
| Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? |
Yes |
15 |
0.800 |
$11.67 |
$1.76 |
+17.7% |
| Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? |
Yes |
121 |
0.081 |
$9.76 |
$-10.07 |
-50.8% |
| New pandemic in 2026? |
Yes |
142 |
0.065 |
$9.20 |
$-10.62 |
-53.6% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? |
Yes |
86 |
0.095 |
$8.19 |
$-11.64 |
-58.7% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
4 |
0.845 |
$3.56 |
$0.32 |
+9.7% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
150 |
0.023 |
$3.45 |
$-1.50 |
-30.3% |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? |
Yes |
4 |
0.275 |
$1.05 |
$-0.02 |
-1.8% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
Yes |
21 |
0.019 |
$0.41 |
$-0.59 |
-59.4% |